GGOALVIO

Denmark · 2. Division · 8/12/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aarhus Fremad · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Aarhus Fremad are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Roskilde are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Roskilde hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (61.4 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.5% in the 2. Division, while Aarhus Fremad holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aarhus Fremad

Probability

52.5%

Model confidence

52.5%

Aarhus Fremad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aarhus FremadDWLL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.25

BTTS 3/4O2.5 2/4
RoskildeLWWWD

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Aarhus FremadRoskilde
65.6Attack66.7
57.3Defence50.0
61.5Form66.7
61.4Power64.8
2.06xG1.25
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