Aarhus Fremadvs
Kolding IF
COMPLETEDDenmark · 1. Division · 9/6/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aarhus Fremad · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aarhus Fremad 2-1 Kolding IF
Original prediction
Aarhus Fremad
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 39.1% | 44.0% | 4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 28.0% | 27.9% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 32.9% | 28.2% | -4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Aarhus Fremad
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Aarhus Fremad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60