Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zürich W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Aarau W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Zürich W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Zürich W hold an 83.8-point power-rating edge (13.2 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Zürich W holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zürich W
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Zürich W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60