Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zürich W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Aarau W are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Zürich W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Zürich W hold an 83.8-point power-rating edge (13.2 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Zürich W holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zürich W
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Zürich W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20