GGOALVIO

Switzerland · AXA Women’s Super League · 2/10/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aarau W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Aarau W are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Young Boys W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Young Boys W hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (13.2 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.5% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Aarau W holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aarau W

Probability

34.5%

Model confidence

34.5%

Aarau W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aarau WLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Young Boys WWWDLD

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Aarau WYoung Boys W
16.7Attack0.0
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
13.2Power15.3
1.72xG1.70
View match centre →