GGOALVIO

Switzerland · AXA Women’s Super League · 12/6/2025, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aarau W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Aarau W are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while St. Gallen W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and St. Gallen W hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (13.2 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.0% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Aarau W holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aarau W

Probability

35.0%

Model confidence

35.0%

Aarau W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aarau WLLDDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
St. Gallen WLLLWD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Aarau WSt. Gallen W
16.7Attack33.3
0.0Defence0.0
0.0Form0.0
13.2Power15.3
1.78xG1.72
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