GGOALVIO

Switzerland · AXA Women’s Super League · 11/18/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aarau W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Aarau W are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while St. Gallen W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and St. Gallen W hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (13.2 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.0% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Aarau W holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aarau W

Probability

35.0%

Model confidence

35.0%

Aarau W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aarau WLLDDL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
St. Gallen WDWLWD

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Aarau WSt. Gallen W
16.7Attack33.3
0.0Defence0.0
0.0Form0.0
13.2Power15.3
1.78xG1.72
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