Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luzern W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Aarau W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Luzern W are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Luzern W hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (13.2 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.9% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Luzern W holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Luzern W
Probability
34.9%
Model confidence
34.9%
Luzern W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40