Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luzern W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Aarau W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Luzern W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Luzern W hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (13.2 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.9% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Luzern W holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Luzern W
Probability
34.9%
Model confidence
34.9%
Luzern W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 17 · avg 0.60/3.40
GF 9 · GA 16 · avg 1.80/3.20