Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manama · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
A'Ali are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Manama are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Manama hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (40.5 v 52.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Premier League, while Manama holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Manama
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
14.2%
Manama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40