EliteserienEliteserien
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 10:03
Aalesund

Aalesund

Home
LD
11
Full time
Viking

Viking

Away
D
Color Line Stadion
GoalVio prediction
43% confidence
Viking(43%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Win probability
Aalesund
31%
Draw
25%
Viking
43%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Aalesund
54
Viking
34
Defence
Aalesund
1
Viking
66
Momentum
Aalesund
17
Viking
33
Danger (xG)
Aalesund
0.69
Viking
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Aalesund)
0.69
avg per match
xG for (Viking)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Aalesund)
3.66
avg per match
xG against (Viking)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
AalesundAalesund
LDW
VikingViking
LDWW

Probability breakdown

43% confidence
Aalesund31%
Draw25%
Viking43%

Viking leads with 43% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Aalesund head into this in Eliteserien fixture at Color Line Stadion in mixed form (LD), while Viking arrive in mixed form (D). Aalesund have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Viking over 1 games.

Tactically, Viking hold the edge. Their modest attack (34/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Aalesund defence (1/100), while Aalesund's attack faces a solid Viking backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Aalesund have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Viking have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Aalesund have generated 0.47 xG per game recently while conceding 1.92 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. Viking have generated 0.92 xG per game recently while conceding 0.99 xG per match.

There is no head-to-head data between Aalesund and Viking in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Viking to win with 43% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Aalesund 3127%, Draw 2534%, Viking 4339%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Aalesund

Aalesund

L
@ Valerenga
16 Jul 2026
16
D
vs Molde
11 Jul 2026
22
xG 0.5
W
@ Rosenborg
16 May 2026
32
Viking

Viking

L
@ Sarpsborg 08 FF
12 Jul 2026
01
xG 0.6
D
@ Sonderjyske
3 Jul 2026
11
W
@ Kristiansund BK
24 May 2026
21
xG 1.2
W
vs Start
16 May 2026
63

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Aalesund vs Viking?

GoalVio's model predicts Viking to win with 43% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Aalesund vs Viking?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Aalesund vs Viking?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Aalesund vs Viking?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more