Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valerenga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aalesund 5-5 Valerenga
Original prediction
Valerenga
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 23:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Valerenga
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Valerenga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AalesundDLDLD
GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
ValerengaLLWWL
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
AalesundValerenga
45.8Attack47.9
25.0Defence39.6
29.2Form41.7
36.0Power43.9
1.75xG2.03