Aalesundvs
Lillestrom
COMPLETEDNorway · Eliteserien · 3/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lillestrom · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Aalesund are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Lillestrom are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 4.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lillestrom hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (36.6 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the Eliteserien, while Lillestrom holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lillestrom
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
Lillestrom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20
GF 20 · GA 11 · avg 4.00/2.20