AalesundvsFredrikstad

Aalesund are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Fredrikstad are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Fredrikstad hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.