AalesundvsFredrikstad

Aalesund are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Fredrikstad are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Fredrikstad hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 42.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the Eliteserien, while Aalesund holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.