Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aalesund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Aalesund are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Brattvåg are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Aalesund hold a 23.7-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 28.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Aalesund holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aalesund
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
Aalesund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20