Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aalesund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Aalesund are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Brattvåg are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Aalesund hold a 23.7-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 28.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Aalesund holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aalesund
Probability
64.8%
Model confidence
9.9%
Aalesund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20