Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brann · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Aalesund are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Brann are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Brann hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.9% in the Eliteserien, while Brann holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Brann
Probability
60.9%
Model confidence
60.9%
Brann has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20