Aalesund IIvs
Rosenborg II
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 2 · 9/25/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rosenborg II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-3 (7%), 2-4 (7%), 1-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aalesund II 1-7 Rosenborg II
Original prediction
Rosenborg II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.16 | 28.5% | 26.1% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.19 | 21.4% | 18.2% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 1.79 | 50.1% | 55.6% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–37%
- 2.2–47%
- 3.1–36%
Predicted outcome
Rosenborg II
Probability
55.6%
Model confidence
55.6%
Rosenborg II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40