Aalesund IIvs
NTNUI
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 2 · 10/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aalesund II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (6%), 2-2 (6%), 3-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aalesund II 1-3 NTNUI
Original prediction
Aalesund II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 53.8% | 45.3% | -8.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.40 | 20.6% | 21.6% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.53 | 25.7% | 33.1% | 7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–26%
- 2.2–26%
- 3.3–36%
Predicted outcome
Aalesund II
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Aalesund II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 17 · avg 2.00/3.40
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60