Aalesund IIvs
Byåsen
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 2 · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Byåsen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-4 (7%), 2-3 (7%), 2-5 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aalesund II 3-3 Byåsen
Original prediction
Byåsen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.85 | 23.4% | 21.9% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.97 | 18.1% | 15.4% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.54 | 58.5% | 62.7% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.97 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–47%
- 2.2–37%
- 3.2–56%
Predicted outcome
Byåsen
Probability
62.7%
Model confidence
62.7%
Byåsen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20