Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vejle · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aalborg 0-1 Vejle
Original prediction
Vejle
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.03 | 30.4% | 28.4% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.6% | 21.4% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 2.09 | 44.0% | 50.2% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Vejle
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Vejle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AalborgDWDDW
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
VejleLLDLD
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AalborgVejle
46.7Attack76.7
53.3Defence50.0
46.7Form63.3
51.1Power64.7
1.45xG2.05