Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aalborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Aalborg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while HB Koge are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Aalborg hold a 38.4-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 14.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the 1. Division, while Aalborg holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aalborg
Probability
56.3%
Model confidence
11.9%
Aalborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.20/2.20