GGOALVIO

Denmark · 1. Division · 8/6/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Fredericia · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Aalborg are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while FC Fredericia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Fredericia hold an 18.2-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 71.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the 1. Division, while FC Fredericia holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Fredericia

Probability

43.4%

Model confidence

43.4%

FC Fredericia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AalborgWWWWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC FredericiaWLLWL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AalborgFC Fredericia
33.3Attack66.7
58.3Defence83.3
58.3Form66.7
53.0Power71.2
1.08xG1.50
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