Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AA Iguaçu · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
AA Iguaçu are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 1.33 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Samas are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 6 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and AA Iguaçu hold a 62.2-point power-rating edge (85.2 v 22.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the Paranaense - 3, while AA Iguaçu holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AA Iguaçu
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
14.8%
AA Iguaçu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 1.33/0.00
GF 0 · GA 4 · avg 0.00/1.33