Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AA Iguaçu · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
AA Iguaçu are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Iraty are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and AA Iguaçu hold a 40.6-point power-rating edge (85.2 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Paranaense - 3, while AA Iguaçu holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AA Iguaçu
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
AA Iguaçu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 1.50/0.00
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00