A. ItalianovsUniversidad de Concepcion

A. Italiano are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Universidad de Concepcion are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and A. Italiano hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 37.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.9% in the Primera División, while A. Italiano holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.