A. Italiano leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Match insights

A. Italiano head into this in Primera División fixture at Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida in mixed form (WL), while Universidad de Chile arrive in mixed form (WL). A. Italiano have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 50% for Universidad de Chile over 2 games.

The model rates A. Italiano's attack at 34/100 against a 46/100 Universidad de Chile defence, and Universidad de Chile's attack at 54/100 against a 66/100 A. Italiano backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

A. Italiano have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game at home. Universidad de Chile have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between A. Italiano and Universidad de Chile in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects A. Italiano to win with 37% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: A. Italiano 3598%, Draw 2907%, Universidad de Chile 3494%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

A. Italiano

W

@ Magallanes

11 Jul 2026

1–0

L

@ Deportes Santa Cruz

5 Jul 2026

1–2

W

vs Palestino

30 Jun 2026

3–2

W

vs Magallanes

27 Jun 2026

2–1

W

@ Palestino

24 Jun 2026

2–1

Universidad de Chile

W

@ Santiago Wanderers

5 Jul 2026

3–2

L

vs Union La Calera

2 Jul 2026

0–1

D

@ Union La Calera

25 Jun 2026

3–3

W

vs O'Higgins

19 Jun 2026

2–0

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