A. Italianovs
U. Catolica
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/6/2023, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
A. Italiano · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
A. Italiano are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while U. Catolica are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and A. Italiano hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while A. Italiano holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
A. Italiano
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
A. Italiano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60