Copa ChileCopa Chile
Tuesday, 30 June 2026Last updated 15:02
A. Italiano

A. Italiano

Home
WL
32
Full time
Palestino

Palestino

Away
LDLW
Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida
GoalVio prediction
37% confidence
A. Italiano(37%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: A. Italiano
Win probability
A. Italiano
37%
Draw
28%
Palestino
35%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
A. Italiano
34
Palestino
64
Defence
A. Italiano
66
Palestino
46
Momentum
A. Italiano
50
Palestino
33
Danger (xG)
A. Italiano
0.90
Palestino
1.57
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (A. Italiano)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Palestino)
1.57
avg per match
xG against (A. Italiano)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Palestino)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
A. ItalianoA. Italiano
WLWWW
PalestinoPalestino
LDLWW

Probability breakdown

37% confidence
A. Italiano37%
Draw28%
Palestino35%

A. Italiano leads with 37% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

A. Italiano head into this in Copa Chile fixture at Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida in mixed form (WL), while Palestino arrive in mixed form (LDLW). A. Italiano have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 25% for Palestino over 4 games.

The model rates A. Italiano's attack at 34/100 against a 46/100 Palestino defence, and Palestino's attack at 64/100 against a 66/100 A. Italiano backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

A. Italiano have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game at home. Palestino have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.

A. Italiano have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 2 of the last 2 encounters, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 2 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects A. Italiano to win with 37% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: A. Italiano 3700%, Draw 2820%, Palestino 3480%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

A. Italiano 2Draws 00 Palestino
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 2/2
30 Jun 2026
A. Italiano
W32
Palestino
24 Jun 2026
A. Italiano
W21
Palestino

Recent form

A. Italiano

A. Italiano

W
@ Magallanes
11 Jul 2026
10
L
@ Deportes Santa Cruz
5 Jul 2026
12
W
vs Palestino
30 Jun 2026
32
W
vs Magallanes
27 Jun 2026
21
W
@ Palestino
24 Jun 2026
21
Palestino

Palestino

L
@ A. Italiano
30 Jun 2026
23
D
@ Deportes Santa Cruz
27 Jun 2026
00
L
vs A. Italiano
24 Jun 2026
12
W
vs Magallanes
20 Jun 2026
41
W
vs D. La Serena
16 May 2026
51

Frequently asked questions

Who will win A. Italiano vs Palestino?

GoalVio's model predicts A. Italiano to win with 37% confidence.

What is the predicted score for A. Italiano vs Palestino?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in A. Italiano vs Palestino?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in A. Italiano vs Palestino?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more