A. Italianovs
Olimpia
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/9/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olimpia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
A. Italiano are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Olimpia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Olimpia hold a 20.3-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 65.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Olimpia holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Olimpia
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Olimpia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60