A. Italianovs
O'Higgins
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 9/13/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
A. Italiano · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
A. Italiano 1-0 O'Higgins
Original prediction
A. Italiano
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 36.4% | 39.3% | 2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 28.2% | 27.4% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.60 | 35.4% | 33.3% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
A. Italiano
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
A. Italiano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60