A. Italianovs
Nublense
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 7/21/2023, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
A. Italiano are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Nublense are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Nublense hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20