A. Italianovs
Newells Old Boys
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/4/2023, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Newells Old Boys · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
A. Italiano are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Newells Old Boys are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Newells Old Boys hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 67.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Newells Old Boys holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Newells Old Boys
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
48.2%
Newells Old Boys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40