A. Italianovs
Huachipato
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 10/23/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
A. Italiano · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
A. Italiano 1-1 Huachipato
Original prediction
A. Italiano
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 45.7% | 40.8% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 27.1% | 26.8% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.39 | 27.2% | 32.3% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.40 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
A. Italiano
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
A. Italiano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60