A. Italianovs
Everton de Vina
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 2/22/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
A. Italiano are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Everton de Vina are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Everton de Vina hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80