Primera DivisiónPrimera División
Saturday, 13 June 2026Last updated 10:10
A. Italiano

A. Italiano

Home
WL
11
Full time
D. La Serena

D. La Serena

Away
LW
Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida
GoalVio prediction
54% confidence
A. Italiano
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
A. Italiano
34
D. La Serena
54
Defence
A. Italiano
66
D. La Serena
27
Momentum
A. Italiano
50
D. La Serena
50
Danger (xG)
A. Italiano
0.90
D. La Serena
1.35
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (A. Italiano)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (D. La Serena)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (A. Italiano)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (D. La Serena)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
A. ItalianoA. Italiano
WLWWW
D. La SerenaD. La Serena
LWDLD

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Analysis

Match insights

A. Italiano head into this in Primera División fixture at Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida in mixed form (WL), while D. La Serena arrive in mixed form (LW). A. Italiano have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 50% for D. La Serena over 2 games.

The model rates A. Italiano's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 D. La Serena defence, and D. La Serena's attack at 54/100 against a 66/100 A. Italiano backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

A. Italiano have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game at home. D. La Serena have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per away game.

D. La Serena have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects A. Italiano to win with 54% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

A. Italiano 0Draws 10 D. La Serena
Avg goals: 2.0BTTS in 1/1
13 Jun 2026
A. Italiano
D11
D. La Serena
xG 0.00.0

Recent form

A. Italiano

A. Italiano

W
@ Magallanes
11 Jul 2026
10
L
@ Deportes Santa Cruz
5 Jul 2026
12
W
vs Palestino
30 Jun 2026
32
W
vs Magallanes
27 Jun 2026
21
W
@ Palestino
24 Jun 2026
21
D. La Serena

D. La Serena

L
vs Antofagasta
5 Jul 2026
24
W
@ Cobresal
1 Jul 2026
10
D
vs Cobresal
24 Jun 2026
00
L
@ Antofagasta
21 Jun 2026
24
D
@ A. Italiano
13 Jun 2026
11
xG 0.0

Frequently asked questions

Who will win A. Italiano vs D. La Serena?

GoalVio's model predicts A. Italiano to win with 54% confidence.

What is the predicted score for A. Italiano vs D. La Serena?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in A. Italiano vs D. La Serena?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in A. Italiano vs D. La Serena?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more