GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 5/23/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

A. Italiano · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

A. Italiano are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Cobresal are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and A. Italiano hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the Primera División, while A. Italiano holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

A. Italiano

Probability

51.1%

Model confidence

51.1%

A. Italiano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

A. ItalianoWLLDD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CobresalWLLLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
A. ItalianoCobresal
40.4Attack44.4
54.4Defence31.5
36.8Form25.9
45.4Power36.0
1.83xG1.08
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