A. Italianovs
Blooming
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/5/2023, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
A. Italiano · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
A. Italiano are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Blooming are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and A. Italiano hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 24.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while A. Italiano holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
A. Italiano
Probability
56.1%
Model confidence
56.1%
A. Italiano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00