9 de Octubrevs
El Nacional
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 5/17/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
9 de Octubre · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
9 de Octubre are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while El Nacional are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and 9 de Octubre hold a 27.0-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 33.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.5% in the Liga Pro Serie B, while 9 de Octubre holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
9 de Octubre
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
54.5%
9 de Octubre has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60