9 de Octubrevs
Atletico FC
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 10/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: 9 de Octubre 0-0 Atletico FC, with an exact score probability of 34%.
Prediction record
Final result
9 de Octubre 0-1 Atletico FC
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 49.6% | 36.6% | -13.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 28.9% | 36.7% | 7.8 pts |
| Away | 4.19 | 21.5% | 26.7% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.8 pts
Projected Score
9 de Octubre 0–0 Atletico FC
Exact score probability: 34%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
9 de OctubreWLWDD
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico FCWDWDL
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
9 de OctubreAtletico FC
38.3Attack40.7
76.5Defence77.8
55.6Form56.8
58.9Power59.7
0.58xG0.53