GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 4/5/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

9 de Octubre · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

9 de Octubre are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LWD), averaging 2.67 scored and 1.67 conceded, while America de Quito are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LDW), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and 9 de Octubre hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the Liga Pro Serie B, while 9 de Octubre holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

9 de Octubre

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

48.8%

9 de Octubre has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

9 de OctubreLWD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 2.67/1.67

BTTS 3/3O2.5 2/3
America de QuitoLDW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.33/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
9 de OctubreAmerica de Quito
33.3Attack42.6
80.0Defence46.3
58.3Form39.8
59.9Power45.0
1.21xG0.52
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