GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 5/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

9 de Julio Rafaela are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Sportivo Belgrano are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Belgrano hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 56.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

9 de Julio RafaelaWDWLW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Sportivo BelgranoWWWDL

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
9 de Julio RafaelaSportivo Belgrano
47.6Attack34.9
55.6Defence81.0
47.6Form50.8
51.4Power56.8
0.68xG0.87
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