GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 5/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

9 de Julio Rafaela · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

9 de Julio Rafaela are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Gimnasia Concepción are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and 9 de Julio Rafaela hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.7% in the Torneo Federal A, while 9 de Julio Rafaela holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

9 de Julio Rafaela

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

21.7%

9 de Julio Rafaela has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

9 de Julio RafaelaLWWDW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gimnasia ConcepciónLLLDL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
9 de Julio RafaelaGimnasia Concepción
47.6Attack26.7
55.6Defence70.0
47.6Form35.0
51.4Power45.1
0.95xG0.64
View match centre →