9 de Julio Rafaelavs
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/12/2026, 11:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
9 de Julio Rafaela are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Gimnasia Chivilcoy are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia Chivilcoy hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (49.9 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 24.2% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
24.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80