GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 5/17/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

9 de Julio Rafaela are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Douglas Haig are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Douglas Haig hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 54.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.4% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.3%

Model confidence

17.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

9 de Julio RafaelaDWLWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Douglas HaigWDWWW

GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
9 de Julio RafaelaDouglas Haig
47.6Attack36.5
55.6Defence69.8
47.6Form52.4
51.4Power54.2
0.92xG0.91
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