GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/30/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

9 de Julio Rafaela · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

9 de Julio Rafaela are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Defensores de Belgrano VR are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensores de Belgrano VR hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 53.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the Torneo Federal A, while 9 de Julio Rafaela holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

9 de Julio Rafaela

Probability

34.3%

Model confidence

14.9%

9 de Julio Rafaela has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

9 de Julio RafaelaWDDLL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Defensores de Belgrano VRDLWDW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
9 de Julio RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano VR
47.6Attack39.7
55.6Defence66.7
47.6Form49.2
51.4Power53.8
1.02xG0.98
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