9 de Julio Rafaelavs
Defensores de Belgrano VR
SCHEDULEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/30/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
9 de Julio Rafaela · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
9 de Julio Rafaela are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Defensores de Belgrano VR are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensores de Belgrano VR hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 53.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the Torneo Federal A, while 9 de Julio Rafaela holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
9 de Julio Rafaela
Probability
34.3%
Model confidence
14.9%
9 de Julio Rafaela has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80