9 de Julio Rafaelavs
Bartolomé Mitre
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 9/13/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
9 de Julio Rafaela · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: 9 de Julio Rafaela 0-0 Bartolomé Mitre, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
9 de Julio Rafaela 0-1 Bartolomé Mitre
Original prediction
9 de Julio Rafaela
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 64.5% | 48.9% | -15.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.6% | 31.5% | 6.9 pts |
| Away | 8.22 | 10.9% | 19.6% | 8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.6 pts
Projected Score
9 de Julio Rafaela 0–0 Bartolomé Mitre
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
9 de Julio Rafaela
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
9 de Julio Rafaela has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80