GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 4/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

9 de Julio Rafaela · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

9 de Julio Rafaela are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Atletico Escobar are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and 9 de Julio Rafaela hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.3% in the Torneo Federal A, while 9 de Julio Rafaela holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

9 de Julio Rafaela

Probability

51.3%

Model confidence

51.3%

9 de Julio Rafaela has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

9 de Julio RafaelaDWLLW

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Atletico EscobarLDL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.67

BTTS 3/3O2.5 2/3
9 de Julio RafaelaAtletico Escobar
47.6Attack34.9
55.6Defence49.2
47.6Form41.3
51.4Power44.5
1.60xG0.84
View match centre →