GGOALVIO

Brazil · Carioca B2 · 9/30/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

7 de Abril · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

7 de Abril are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 5.20 conceded, while Rio de Janeiro are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 7.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and 7 de Abril hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 32.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.0% in the Carioca B2, while 7 de Abril holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

7 de Abril

Probability

55.0%

Model confidence

55.0%

7 de Abril has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

7 de AbrilLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 26 · avg 0.40/5.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Rio de JaneiroLL

GF 1 · GA 15 · avg 0.50/7.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
7 de AbrilRio de Janeiro
36.4Attack36.4
60.6Defence30.3
30.3Form24.2
42.1Power32.6
1.67xG0.77
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